"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future," as the old truism goes. With the annual exercise in New Year crystal ball gazing in full swing, the famous line commonly attributed to baseballer/ philosopher/ latter day guru Yogi Berra feels more apt than ever before. Any attempt to gauge how the next 12 months will play out has to recognise that conventional wisdom has had a truly shocking run of it over the past decade. Whether they took the form of Brexit, President Trump, Covid, or Putin's invasion of Ukraine, events that were widely regarded as unlikely have not only ...
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